Alabama vs. Wisconsin score prediction by expert college footb
This weekend brings us a notable SEC vs. Big Ten matchup from one of college football’s most raucous home field advantages as Wisconsin welcomes No. 4 Alabama in head coach Kalen DeBoer’s first big road test at the helm of the Crimson Tide on Saturday.
Last week, Alabama escaped in another close battle with USF, the 42-16 scoreline of which belies how tight the game was, with the Tide ahead by just 1 point as late as the third quarter and losing the turnover battle 3-0, before piling on four fourth quarter touchdowns to pull away late
Wisconsin is still trying to open up this offense with transfer quarterback Tyler Van Dyke at the helm, but through two games sits at 85th nationally in scoring offense and 89th in passing production despite playing two over-matched opponents to start out.
What do the analytics predict for the matchup? For that, let’s turn to the SP+ prediction model to get a preview of how Alabama and Wisconsin compare in this Week 3 college football clash.
Alabama vs. Wisconsin score prediction
As expected, the simulations favor the Crimson Tide to come away with a big win against its Big Ten opponent this week.
SP+ predicts that Alabama will defeat Wisconsin by a projected score of 33 to 15 and to win the game by an expected 17.5 points.
The model gives the Tide a strong 86 percent chance of outright victory in the matchup.
SP+ is a “tempo- and opponent-adjusted measure of college football efficiency” that attempts to predict game outcomes by measuring “the most sustainable and predictable aspects of football.”
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