Cedric Mullins has become a fixture in Baltimore, but for how much longer?

Cedric Mullins has been a cornerstone of the Baltimore Orioles’ lineup since his breakout 2021 season, earning an All-Star selection and becoming the fourth player in franchise history to achieve a 30-30 season. However, as he enters his final year of arbitration in 2025, questions arise about his future with the team. This analysis delves into Mullins’ recent performance, his contract situation, and the Orioles’ organizational direction to assess how much longer he might remain a fixture in Baltimore.

A Season of Ups and Downs

Mullins’ 2024 season was a tale of resilience. After a challenging start, hitting just .219 in March and April and enduring a month-long homerless slump in May, he found his rhythm in June. Facing formidable opponents like the Yankees, Phillies, and Guardians, Mullins batted .386 over 17 games, regaining the trust of manager Brandon Hyde. He concluded the season with a .234/.305/.405 slash line, 18 home runs, and 32 stolen bases, marking his third 30-steal season and solidifying his status as a key contributor to the Orioles’ offense.

Contract Status and Arbitration

In January 2025, Mullins and the Orioles agreed to a one-year, $8.725 million contract, his final year of arbitration eligibility. This agreement reflects his value to the team and positions him for free agency after the 2025 season. While the Orioles have a history of retaining key players, Mullins’ impending free agency introduces uncertainty regarding his long-term future in Baltimore.

The Orioles’ Organizational Outlook

The Orioles are in a phase of organizational growth, with a focus on developing young talent and building a competitive team. Mullins, now 30, represents a bridge between the team’s rebuilding years and its aspirations for sustained success. His leadership and experience are invaluable, but the team’s future direction may influence decisions about his tenure.

Potential for Extension or Departure

Given Mullins’ contributions and the Orioles’ current trajectory, there are two primary scenarios for his future:

1. Contract Extension: If Mullins continues to perform at a high level in 2025, the Orioles may consider offering him a contract extension to retain his services and leadership.
2. Free Agency: Should the Orioles opt not to extend Mullins, he will become a free agent after the 2025 season, potentially attracting interest from other teams seeking an experienced center fielder.

Cedric Mullins has been a vital part of the Baltimore Orioles’ lineup, contributing both offensively and defensively. As he approaches free agency, his future with the team hinges on his performance in the 2025 season and the Orioles’ strategic decisions. Regardless of the outcome, Mullins’ impact on the franchise will be remembered as a significant chapter in the team’s resurgence.